Measurment Impact of Political cycle on price Index , dividend and price Index of Tehran Exchange

Authors

1 islamic azad university

2 isalamic azad university

Abstract

Abstract This study examines the impact of political cycle on Tehran stock Exchange performance. Political cycle is a four-year cycle that Is known to political business cycle and Presidential cycle. Political cycle theory shows that stock returns fall during the first half of a presidency, and rise during the second half of a presidency.Also Stock market performance in different years from a government in USA Indicated stock returns is lower in the second year than in other years.In this study, stock market performance is measured by Exchange price Index return , Exchange dividend and price Index return. The research method is based on the goal, application and is based on the method descriptive .we used two methods to collect data and content,library method and Using the Exchange documents. The study used descriptive and inferential statistics. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS software. The results of this research indicate that There is"nt significant relationship Between the independent variable (Political cycle) and dependent variables ( price Index return , dividend and price Index return ). In other words, there is no significant difference between Thehran stock performance (Basis of two indicators) the first half and second half of a presidency. Also, there is no significant difference between Thehran stock performance the different years of a presidency.In summary , this research shows Tehran Stock Exchange does not follow the political cycle.

Keywords

References

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Financial Management Strategy
Volume 1, Issue 3
January 2014
Pages 25-43

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History

  • Receive Date: 08 October 2013
  • Revise Date: 29 May 2018
  • Accept Date: 16 December 2013

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