اثر توسعه مالی بر جداسازی مصرف انرژی و رشد اقتصادی

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 استاد اقتصاد، گروه اقتصاد انرژی، دانشگاه مازندران.مازندران.ایران

2 کارشناسی‌ارشد اقتصاد انرژی، دانشگاه مازندران.مازندران. ایران

10.22051/jfm.2024.46119.2894

چکیده

ادبیات گسترده ای درباره اثر توسعه مالی بر مصرف انرژی وجود دارد با این حال، به این سئوال مهم پاسخ داده نشده است که آیا توسعه مالی می­تواند بر جداسازی مصرف انرژی از رشد اقتصادی موثر باشد؟ این در حالی است که جداسازی در جهت توسعه پایدار و به مثابه کربن­زدایی فعالیت­های اقتصادی و افزایش امنیت انرژی می­باشد. هدف اصلی پژوهش حاضر، پاسخ به سئوال اخیر و آزمون این فرضیه است که توسعه مالی می­تواند موجب بهبود جداسازی مصرف انرژی از رشد اقتصادی شود. برای این منظور، از روش گشتاورهای تعمیم یافته برای 64 کشور منتخب بر اساس حداکثر داده­های قابل دسترس طی دوره زمانی 2021-2002 استفاده شده است. نتایج پژوهش حاضر نشان می­دهد که وضعیت جداسازی مصرف انرژی و رشد اقتصادی در کشورهای مورد بررسی در ناحیه اول تاپیو و در بازه جداسازی ضعیف قرار گرفته است. همچنین، بر اساس نتایج برآورد مدل پژوهش حاضر، توسعه مالی موجب بهبود جداسازی در ناحیه اول تاپیو می­شود(تایید فرضیه پژوهش). بر اساس یافته های این مطالعه، اگرچه متغیرهای موثر بر مصرف انرژی(شامل؛ توسعه مالی، آزادی اقتصادی و توسعه انسانی) به جداسازی کمک کرده­اند ولی در مجموع، اثرات این متغیرها نتوانسته است موجب تغییر اساسی در بازه جداسازی شود. به نظر می­رسد جداسازی در کشورهای منتخب نیازمند انتقال بازه به ناحیه چهارم تاپیو می­باشد که در آن مصرف انرژی کاهش و رشد اقتصادی افزایش می­یابد و لازمه این مهم، اعمال سیاست­های نرم به ویژه توسعه مالی هدفمند و کارایی انرژی محور و ارتقای سخت افزاری و فناورانه انرژی از طریق توسعه مالی برای کاهش شدت انرژی می­باشد. در مجموع،  بر اساس نتایج این پژوهش، اگرچه توسعه مالی موجب بهبود جداسازی شده است ولی ضروری است برای جداسازی قوی، توسعه مالی رویکرد توسعه پایدار داشته باشد. 

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

عنوان مقاله [English]

The Effect of Financial Development on the Decoupling of Energy Consumption and Economic Growth

نویسندگان [English]

  • Saeed Rasekhi 1
  • Sara Ghanbartabar 2
1 Department of Energy Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Science, University of Mazandaran, Mazandaran Province, Iran
2 Department of Energy Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Science, University of Mazandaran, Mazandaran Province, Iran
چکیده [English]

There is a vast literature on the effect of financial development on energy consumption, however, this important question has not been answered whether financial development can be effective in decoupling energy consumption from economic growth. This is despite the fact that decoupling is in the direction of sustainable development and as decarbonization of economic activities and increasing energy security. The main goal of this research is to answer the recent question and test this hypothesis that financial development can improve the decoupling of energy consumption and economic growth. For this purpose, the method of generalized method of moments used for 64 selected countries based on the maximum available data during the period of 2002-2021. The results of this research show that the state of decoupling of energy consumption and economic growth in the studied countries is in the first region of Tapio and in the range of weak decoupling. Also, based on the estimation results of the current research model, financial development improves decoupling in the first district of Tapio (confirmation of the research hypothesis). According to the results, although the variables affecting energy consumption (including: financial development, economic freedom and human development) have contributed to the decoupling, but overall, the effects of these variables have not been able to fundamentally change the decoupling period. It seems that decoupling in the selected countries needs to be transferred to the fourth region of Tapio, where energy consumption decreases and economic growth increases, and this requires the application of soft policies, especially targeted financial development and energy-oriented efficiency. And upgrading energy hardware and technology through financial development to reduce energy intensity. Overall, based on the results of this research, although financial development has improved decoupling, it is necessary for financial development to have a sustainable development approach for strong decoupling.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Financial Development
  • Energy Consumption
  • Economic Growth
  • Decoupling
  • Tapio

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  • تاریخ دریافت: 17 دی 1402
  • تاریخ بازنگری: 01 اسفند 1402
  • تاریخ پذیرش: 02 اردیبهشت 1403

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